February Silicon Valley Real Estate Update

Quick Market Summary: With the median price up 25.5% in the last year in Santa Clara County, we're still in a continued hot streak. Amazing, yes, but that doesn't mean every single home went up that much. Median price is the middle transaction of those that closed escrow during the month. It's more accurate to use median prices as an indicator of the overall trend. Supply and demand -- low inventory or supply coupled with high demand means higher prices. Basic economic theory. When record low inventory is mixed with a goodly amount of buyer demand, you get higher prices. Median prices continue to set records — in Santa Clara County it was $1,155,000 and $1,550,000 in San Mateo County in January. The Santa Clara County median price for condos/townhouses is $750,000. Demand continues to outstrip supply in Santa Clara County as 73.0% of homes that closed escrow sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and a record for this time of year. It was 66% in San Mateo County. Will demand increase as we get into early spring -- we'll see but this is what occurs each year almost without fail.

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was 452 down 27% from last year at this time. Sales (accepted offers) were 675 down from 689 or 2.0% from the same month last year. You'd think that sales would be down as much as inventory if you believe that some agents say that sales are limited by inventory. They forget that there is another variable to consider -- turnover. A faster market or one with a shorter number of days on market easily cancels or mitigates a lower level of inventory. Think the turnover in the fruit and vegetable portion of the market versus the turnover for packaged goods. Average days on market has dropped to just 17 -- lowest ever!

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 197 in January. Sales (accepted offers) were 252. Each of these much lower. For both counties, the inventory continues to lag far below the historical average for this time of the year placing pressure on buyers as evidenced in the predominance of multiple offer situations and heated competition between buyers trying to enter the market.

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during January this ratio stood at 108.5% and the highest ever for this time of year. The all time high of 110.0% was reached in the heady days of the “Dot-com” period in 2000. Last year at this time it stood at 101.4%.

Take a look at the chart below from MLSListings.com which shows the Santa Clara County sales price to list price ratio trend since 2001. Any value above 100% is an average that is above list price and infers multiple offers.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the      Cupertino/Sunnyvale market area (median price of about $2.28 million) at 116.6% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 16.6% higher than the list price! It also registered a low median days on market at just 9 which means half the inventory sells in just nine days! The coolest is the South County (Morgan Hill and Gilroy) market area (median price of about $0.85 million) with 100.3% and 30 days of unsold inventory.

Days of unsold inventory are at a record low of just 23 for Santa Clara County and 27 for San Mateo County. This means that for Santa Clara County that the entire inventory, if held static, would sell out in less than 23 days!

Even with the backdrop of the hot market we're still seeing a cooling off of the high end of the price ranges in the Los Altos/Palo Alto and Los Gatos/Saratoga market areas. These high-priced homes are staying on the market longer than those more closely aligned with the median priced homes in those same areas. Sellers need to be more aggressive with listing a home that has an expected sales price substantially higher than the median in the immediate area.

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 109.6% with the highest ratio and hottest market area in the North (Brisbane, Colma, Daly City, Pacifica, San Bruno, South San Francisco) market area (median price of about $1.13 million) at 113.7% with a median days on market of 11. The coolest is the Coast (Half Moon Bay, El Granada, Moss Beach, Montara) market area, (median price of about $1.39 million). As was the case with the high end in Santa Clara County, we’re seeing the same characteristic with those higher priced homes in San Mateo County in Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough and Woodside along with the high part of the range in the Bay Cities and Redwood City. San Mateo County’s sale price to list price ratio chart is from MLSListings.com.

Take a look at the chart below from MLSListings.com which shows the San Mateo County sales price to list price ratio trend since 2001.

As always, market dynamics change and the supply and demand relationships can vary by area. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your Remax Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have over 750 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

December Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: Up and away. That's the characterization of the continued hot streak as November prices jumped and are 25.1% higher than the same month a year ago. Yes, you read that right! When record low inventory is mixed with a goodly amount of buyer demand, you get higher prices. Median prices continue to set records — in Santa Clara County it was $1,289,000 and $1,513,000 in San Mateo County. The Santa Clara County median price for condos/townhouses is $790,000. Demand continues to outstrip supply in Santa Clara County as 77.9% of homes that closed escrow sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and was 75% in San Mateo County. The historical averages we've seen in most of the past 20 years of a settling down of the market come late fall, is totally out the window. The question becomes is the sharp increases we've seen at this time of the year caused by buyers getting a jump on the historically busy late winter-early spring OR will be see a continuation of the high demand next year too.

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was a paltry 486 down from 645 last month and down from 750 the same month last year or a decrease of 35.2%! Sales (accepted offers) were 791 down from 1,003 last month and decreased 1.7% from 805 the same month last year. Closed sales were interesting — they were 738 down from 797 last month and 826 the same month last year, a decrease of 10.7%. Comparing the large reduction of inventory and the smaller drop in offers accepted, we’ve seen that turnover has accelerated. Put another way — the days on market (DOM) have shortened making our market more efficient or faster.

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 243 in November down from 318 last month. Sales (accepted offers) were 318 a decrease from 460 last month. For both counties, the inventory continues to lag far below the historical average for this time of the year placing pressure on buyers as evidenced in the predominance of multiple offer situations and heated competition between buyers trying to enter the market.

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during November this ratio stood at 108.5% and the highest ever for this time of year and a bit lower than the all time high of 110.0% reached in the heady days of the “Dot-com” period in 2000. Last year it stood at 101.5%.

Take a look at the chart below from MLSListings.com which shows the Santa Clara County median price trend since 2000.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the Cupertino/Sunnyvale market area (median price of about $2.02 million) at 116.8% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 16.8% higher than the list price! It also registered the lowest median days on market at just 9 which means half the inventory sells in just nine days! The coolest is the South County (Morgan Hill and Gilroy) market area (median price of about $0.85 million) with 101.0% and 30 days of unsold inventory.

Days of unsold inventory are at a record low of just 21.5 for Santa Clara County and 23 for San Mateo County. This means that for Santa Clara County that the entire inventory, if held static, would sell out in less than 22 days!

We still are seeing a cooling trend in the high end of the price ranges in the Los Altos/Palo Alto and Los Gatos/Saratoga market areas. These high-priced homes are staying on the market much longer than those more closely aligned with the median priced homes in those same areas.

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 108.3% with the highest ratio and hottest market area in the North (Brisbane, Colma, Daly City, Pacifica, San Bruno, South San Francisco) market area (median price of about $0.98 million) at 111.4% with a median days on market of 13. The coolest is the Coast (Half Moon Bay, El Granada, Moss Beach, Montara) market area, (median price of about $1.27 million). As was the case with the high end in Santa Clara County, we’re seeing the same characteristic with those higher priced homes in San Mateo County in Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough and Woodside along with the high part of the range in the Bay Cities and Redwood City. San Mateo County’s sale price to list price ratio chart is from MLSListings.com.

Take a look at the chart below from MLSListings.com which shows the San Mateo County median price trend since 2000.

As always, market dynamics change and the supply and demand relationships can vary by area. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your Remax Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have over 750 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

November Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: The hot streak continues as October is added to the hottest real estate market period in history! Buyers seem to be getting a jump on expected future price gains and/or higher mortgage rates. Normal market trends have late summer and fall prices drifting lower along with sales and inventory. Not so this year! In October, inventory of available homes for sale attained what looks like a record low in Santa Clara County of just 645 single family residences. Median prices continue to set records — in Santa Clara County it was $1,250,000 and $1,525,000 in San Mateo County. The Santa Clara County median price for condos/townhouses is $767,000. Demand continues to outstrip supply in Santa Clara County as 75% of homes that closed escrow sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and was 84% in San Mateo County. Historically, we see a higher level of interest from buyers post-Labor Day that lasts for a month or so and then things tend to settle down as we approach the holidays.

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was just 645 down from 700 last month and down from 1,116 the same month last year or a decrease of 42.2%! Sales (accepted offers) were 1,003 down from 995 last month and decreased 8.7% from 1,098 the same month last year. Closed sales were interesting — they were 797 in October, 886 last month in September but only 859 last year, a decrease of 7.2%. Comparing the large reduction of inventory and the smaller drop in offers accepted, we’ve seen that turnover has accelerated. Put another way — the length of escrows have shortened making our market more efficient or faster.

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 318 in October down from 396 last month. Sales (accepted offers) were 460 an increase from 393 last month. For both counties, the inventory continues to lag far below the historical average for this time of the year placing pressure on buyers as evidenced in the predominance of multiple offer situations and heated competition between buyers trying to enter the market.

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during October this ratio stood at 107.7% and the highest ever for this time of year and a bit lower than the all time high of 110.0% reached in the heady days of the “Dot-com” period in 2000. Last year it stood at 101.9%. Take a look at the chart below from MLSListings.com which shows this ratio since 2000.

Currently, the highest ratio and the hottest market belongs to the Cupertino/Sunnyvale market area (median price of about $1.80 million) at 113.7% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 13.7% higher than the list price. It also registered the lowest median days on market at just 8 which means half the inventory sells in just eight days! The coolest is the South County (Morgan Hill and Gilroy) market area (median price of about $0.82 million) with 101.0% and 15 days.

Days of unsold inventory are at a record low of just 22.5 for Santa Clara County and 31 for San Mateo County. This means that for Santa Clara County that the entire inventory, if held static, would sell out in less than 23 days!

The high end of the price ranges in the Los Altos/Palo Alto and Los Gatos/Saratoga market areas are showing signs of cooling. They are staying on the market much longer than those more closely aligned with the median priced homes in those same areas.

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at an even higher level of 110.2% with the highest ratio and hottest market area in the North (Brisbane, Colma, Daly City, Pacifica, San Bruno, South San Francisco) market area (median price of about $1.00 million) at 111.8% with a median days on market of 14. The coolest is the Coast (Half Moon Bay, El Granada, Moss Beach, Montara) market area, (median price of about $1.23 million). As was the case with the high end in Santa Clara County, we’re seeing the same characteristic with those higher priced homes in San Mateo County in Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough and Woodsidealong with the high part of the range in the Bay Cities and Redwood City. San Mateo County’s sale price to list price ratio chart is from MLSListings.com.

As always, market dynamics change and the supply and demand relationships can vary by area. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your Remax Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have over 750 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

October Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: This past several months has been the hottest real estate market period in history! Perhaps buyers are getting a jump on the normal upswing that comes in early spring of each year. Anemic inventory levels coupled with the threat of higher mortgage rates and robust buyer activity and demand provided the price pop we witnessed. In September, inventory of available homes for sale attained a record low in Santa Clara County and very close to a record in San Mateo County. Median prices continue to set records — in Santa Clara County it was $1,180,000 and $1,465,000 in San Mateo County. The Santa Clara County median price for condos/townhouses is $720,000. Demand continues to outstrip supply in Santa Clara County as 70% of homes that closed escrow sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and was 72% in San Mateo County. Historically, we see a higher level of interest from buyers post-Labor Day that lasts for a month or so and then things tend to settle down as we approach the holidays. Things WILL settle somewhat during this period but I believe we're in for higher prices early next year provided no huge external event changes the outlook.

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was just 700 down from 723 last month and down from 1,277 the same month last year or a decrease of 45.2%! Sales (accepted offers) were 995 down from 1,131 last month but decreased from 1,118 the same month last year. Closed sales were interesting — they were 886 in September but only 826 last year, an increase of 7.3%. That busts the myth that sales are constrained by a lack of inventory as what we witnessed was a turnover rate faster than at any time in the last 20 years!

Here is a chart of the months of inventory for Santa Clara County single family residences from MLSListings. Please note the new all-time low reached last month.

 

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 396, up from 330 last month. Sales (accepted offers) were 393 and increased from 366 last month. For both counties, the inventory continues to lag well below the average for this time of the year placing pressure on buyers as evidenced in the predominance of multiple offer situations and heated competition between buyers trying to enter the market.

Here is a chart of the months of inventory for San Mateo County single family residences from MLSListings. It shows super low levels but not quite historic lows. 

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during September this ratio stood at 105.9% and the highest ever for this time of year! Last year it stood at 101.7%. Currently, the highest ratio and the hottest market area belong to  the Cupertino/Sunnyvale market area (median price of about $1.86 million) at 112.3% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 12.3% higher than the list price. It also registered the lowest median days on market at just 10 which means half the inventory sells in just ten days! The coolest market area is Los Gatos/Saratoga (median price of about $2.40 million). 

 

The high end of the price ranges in the Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Palo Alto, Los Gatos and Saratoga market areas are showing signs of cooling.

 

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at an even higher level of 109.1% with the highest ratio and hottest market area in the Bay Cities (Belmont, Burlingame, Millbrae, San Carlos, San Mateo) market area (median price of about $1.66 million) at 113.0% with a median days on market of 11. The coolest market area is the Expensive (Atherton, Menlo Park, Portola Valley, Woodside, Hillsborough) market area, (median price of about $3.55 million). As was the case with the high end in Santa Clara County, we're seeing the same characteristic with those higher priced homes in San Mateo County in Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough and Woodside along with the high part of the range in the Bay Cities and Redwood City.

 

As always, market dynamics change and the supply and demand relationships can vary by area. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your Remax Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and "like" my Facebook Business Page (have over 750 likes - help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page. Thank you.

February Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Here are my observations of the most recent January 2013 transactions for Santa Clara County real estate and San Mateo County real estate. Your comments and questions are always welcome. If you see something in your neighborhood that you are curious about or have a question, please don't hesitate to share with us. If you have questions or a comment, please leave them here, or feel free to contact me through my website or send me an email.

General Market Observations and Comments -- At the end of the year the amount of homes  (single family and condos and townhouses) available broke new record low levels! In Santa Clara County, there were just 727 single family residences on the market, 394 in San Mateo County. Even though the amount of available homes for sale seemingly jumped from the levels witnessed at year end, they're climbing from record lows! The average annual cycle sees inventory build from early in the year so we're experiencing that once again. The current market condition continues to place most buyers at a disadvantage. Still, 522 homes closed escrow last month in Santa Clara County and 234 did so in San Mateo County. Both counties have the characteristics of a seller's market in most market areas but not all. During January, more than half of the closings had a sales price greater than a list price (55% in Santa Clara County and 53% in San Mateo County). It bears repeating that a well-priced listing has a tendency to develop more activity and have a much higher chance of generating multiple offers. For owners thinking of selling, it is a very good time to sell.

Which Half Are You? --  In January, it took just 16 days to sell half of the homes in Santa Clara County and 17 in San Mateo County! Keep in mind that these are countywide averages and both saw a slight increase from from the month prior. This is not to infer that the market is cooling down. Quite the contrary, even though it's cold outside, generally, the real estate markets are HOT!

In Santa Clara County, the fastest market area is Santa Clara, Willow Glen, Cambrian, Campbell with a median sale price of $703,000 has a median days on market of just 12 days followed closely by Cupertino and Sunnyvale (zip codes 95014, 94087, 94086) with a median sale price of $1,123,000 has a median days on market of 13. The slowest is East, Central, South San Jose with a median price of $403,000 has a median days on market of 30. For San Mateo County, the fastest market area is the Bay Cities of Belmont, Burlingame, Millbrae, San Carlos, San Mateo with a median sale price of $940,000 has a median days on market of 14 whereas the slowest is the expensive areas of San Mateo County comprising the communities of Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Woodside, Hillsborough with a median sale price of $2,036 has  median days on market of 52.

Median Prices Continue to Increase -- The trend of median prices of single family, condo and townhouse homes continue upwards. For single family residences, January saw Santa Clara County's median price, half above and half below or the middle transaction, at $661,000 and the median sales price for San Mateo County decreased slightly to $715,000 from the previous month. The upwards trend has been evident since the Spring of 2009 --  not in a straight line but a varied line.

Recent Overbidding Levels Remain High -- The percentage where sale price is greater than list price gives us an indication of multiple offers. The talked about the frequency of overbidding (sale price greater than list price 55% of the time in Santa Clara County and 53% in San Mateo County) but a more telling aspect is the magnitude or sales price to list price ratio (SP/LP). In Santa Clara County, the average SP/LP ratio is 102.4% or in the average transaction the seller gets 2.4% above the list price. Hottest area is Cupertino and Sunnyvale with 106.0. In San Mateo County the numbers look similar. Overall, the average is 102.4 and the highest is Foster City/Redwood Shores with 104.9.

Murphy Avenue called Murphy Street in Sunnyvale, CA

Distress Property in Decline -- In Santa Clara County, there were just 4% of the available listings that were short sales and 4% bank-owned which means regular listings accounted for more than 90%! This is a far cry from even last year when these combined for a quarter of the listings. 

 

Mortgage Rates Bottom? -- While mortgage rates remain at or near recent lows, buyers contemplating a purchase may be surprised to learn that rates have moved up. A new issue of U.S. Treasury 10-year notes were sold at a price to yield 2.02%. This is an increase from the record low of about 1.50%.  The Fed continues to monitize debt (buy mortgage-backed and other debt-securities to the tune of about $85 billion a month -- an annual rate of $1+ trillion). This puts money into the banking system and investors have to put it somewhere. Since the economy remains generally sluggish, the money predominately ends up in assets (e.g., stocks, commodities and yes, real estate). It remains long-term prudent to lock in rates before the market moves much farther away from these levels.

Thanks for reading! I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- On Google+ at +Tom McEvoy. Let me know if you have any comments, questions, observations or any future topics you'd like me to address.

Posted by Tom McEvoy, Realtor at 3:57 PM

January Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Here are my observations of the most recent December 2012 transactions for Santa Clara County real estate and San Mateo County real estate. Your comments and questions are always welcome. If you see something in your neighborhood that you are curious about or have a question, please don't hesitate to share with us. If you have questions or a comment, please leave them here, or feel free to contact me through my website or send me an email.

General Market Observations and Comments -- At the end of the year the amount of homes  (single family and condos and townhouses) available broke new record low levels! In Santa Clara County, there were just 534 single family residences on the market, 293 in San Mateo County. Part of this is due to the seasonality aspect as inventory trends decrease toward the end of the year and the other is that this continues the trend set in motion from the early part of  last year. Lowered inventory usually advantages sellers but that doesn't mean buyer are not buying. In fact, 830 homes closed escrow last month in Santa Clara County and 317 did so in San Mateo County. Both counties have the characteristics of a seller's market in most market areas but not all. During December, more than half of the closings had a sales price greater than a list price (58% in Santa Clara County and 56% in San Mateo County). It bears repeating that a well-priced listing has a tendency to develop more activity and have a much higher chance of generating multiple offers.

Which Half Are You? --  In December, it took just 13 days to sell half of the homes in Santa Clara County and 14 in San Mateo County! Keep in mind that these are countywide averages and both saw this decline from the month prior. A neighborhood may vary from these figures so it's best to contact your Realtor for a current reading.

In Santa Clara County, the fastest market area is Cupertino and Sunnyvale (zip codes 95014, 94086, 94087) with a median days on market of just 10 whereas the slowest is Los Gatos and Saratoga with a median days on market of 46 for those that closed escrow during the month. For San Mateo County, the fastest market area is Redwood City with 12 whereas the slowest is the expensive areas of San Mateo County comprising the communities of Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Woodside, Hillsborough with 31.

Median Prices Continue to Increase -- Median prices of single family, condo and townhouse homes continue upwards. For single family residences, December saw Santa Clara County's median price, half above and half below or the middle transaction, increase to $697,000 and the median sales price for San Mateo County decreased slightly to $810,000 from the previous month. The upwards trend has been evident since the Spring of 2009.

Recent Overbidding Levels Remain High -- We talked about the frequency of overbidding (sale price greater than list price in 58% of the closes) but a more telling aspect is the magnitude or sales price to list price ratio (SP/LP). In Santa Clara County, the average SP/LP ratio is 102.7% or in the average transaction the seller gets 2.7% above the list price. Hottest area is Los Altos/Palo Alto with 105.9. In San Mateo County the numbers look similar. Overall, the average is 102.3 and the highest is Foster City/Redwood Shores with 104.2.

In Santa Clara County, for the Sunnyvale and Cupertino (zip codes 94086, 94087, 95014) market area, there were exactly none with 51 active single family residence listings. Ditto for Redwood Shores/Foster City area in San Mateo County with just five active listings.

Foster City, California

What's HOT and What's NOT -- In Santa Clara County, the hottest market area comprises Santa Teresa, North Valley, Milpitas, Blossom Valley with a Days of Unsold Inventory (DUI) of 15. In San Mateo County, the hottest area is Foster City/Redwood Shores with a DUI of 10. What's not is Los Gatos/Saratoga in Santa Clara County with a DUI of 61 and the expensive areas of Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough and Woodside in San Mateo County with a DUI of 99.

Mortgage Rates Bottom? -- While mortgage rates remain at or near recent lows, buyers contemplating a purchase may be surprised to learn that rates moved up. Current U.S. Treasury 10-year notes are quoted at 1.90%, up from the record low of about 1.50% and bond prices look to be topping, it may be long-term prudent to lock in rates before the market moves the rates away from these levels.

Thanks for reading! I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- On Google+ at +Tom McEvoy. Let me know if you have any comments, questions, observations or any future topics you'd like me to address.

World Class Chocolates and More in the Valley of Hearts Delight

You've made dinner reservations at a romantic restaurant (I did at Pezzela's Villa Napoli Restaurant in Sunnyvale, CA) and you might have picked up a little something for her at her favorite store, perhaps even some nice long-stems. Of course, there's always sweets for your sweets for Valentine's Day.


Here is a selection of some world class chocolatiers from Palo Alto, Sunnyvale, Saratoga, Los Gatos and Santa Cruz:


Chocolate Dream Box - Handcrafted European style chocolates specializing in gifts for holidays such as Valentine's Day

* 710 Blossom Hill Road, Los Gatos. 408-356-2626


Fleur e Cocoa Patisserie Chocolaterie - Offering cakes, pastries, chocolates, light lunch & more

39 N. Santa Cruz Avenue, Los Gatos. 408-354-3574


Richard Donnelly Chocolates - Handmade, award winning chocolates

* 1509 Mission Street, Santa Cruz. 888-685-1871


Saratoga Chocolates
* 14572-B Big Basin Way, Saratoga. 408-872-1431


Chocolatier Desiree - Featuring Belgian chocolates

* 165 S. Murphy Avenue, #C, Sunnyvale, CA 94086 408-306-3127


Shokolaat - Fine dining with a special Valentine's Day menu

* 516 University Avenue, Palo Alto. 650-289-0719


Sugar Butter Flour - Desserts, chocolates & more

* 669 S. Bernardo Avenue, Sunnyvale. 408-732-8597





How About Wine with Chocolate? Selections from Los Gatos and San Jose...

Testarossa Vineyards
Testarossa Vineyards (formerly Novitiate of Los Gatos Winery) is hosting a wine, cheese and chocolate tasting on Saturday, February 11th from 11:00am to 4:00pm. Reservations strongly recommended at 408-354-6150 x21 or email tastingroom@testarossa.com.

J. Lohr Winery
Wine and Chocolate Tasting Lunches, Friday and Saturday, February 11th & 12th as well as a Valentine's Day Chocolate Dinner on February 14th are unfortunately SOLD OUT. Keep them in mind for another day/year!




Happy Valentine's Day!

June Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Comments

Here are my observations of the most recent May transactions for Santa Clara County real estate and San Mateo County real estate. Your comments and questions are always welcome. If you see something in your neighborhood that you are curious about or have a question, please don't hesitate to share with us. If you have questions or a comment, please leave them here, or feel free to contact me through my website.

> General Market Observations and Comments -- Closings increased a bit more in May than in April but continues to be less than the average May over the past ten years. Inventory, or the number of homes available for sale (supply) has increased but it, too, continues to grow at a slower rate than the ten-year average.

Demand continues to point to single family residences (SFR) and away from condos/townhouses. My advice for buyers: if you prefer the life-style of a condo or townhouse, there are better buys possible. Yes, they have homeowner association dues that often cover additional ownership features and benefits (e.g., utilities, pool/spa, exercise rooms, and the like) but the owner doesn't have to worry about it.

As for the available homes for sale -- we're seeing a bipolar market. Homes priced well and in good condition, sell quickly and get the most activity (i.e., higher prices, quicker sale). Overpriced homes or those in poor locations or in poor condition (bank-owned or short sale homes are mainly in this category) stay on the market far longer and eventually sell with lower prices or as "fixer uppers" or "fix and flips".

As was the case last month, one of the hot markets was the area comprising the cities of Mountain View, Los Altos and Palo Alto. This area had the lowest DUI reading in Santa Clara County of just 37 days, clearly a seller's market. Next door, Sunnyvale and Cupertino had a DUI of 50, balanced to seller's market. Some of us are calling this the "Facebook" effect. By contrast, the DUI for Los Altos Hills is 153, clearly indicating a buyer's market.

Days of unsold inventory (DUI) for Santa Clara County by price range is interesting. Overall, the DUI reading was 58. The DUI for homes priced under $450,000 was just 35 days; those priced from $450,000-600,000 was 59 days; those priced from $600,000-750,000 was 74 days; from $750,000 to $1 million was 66 days; from $1.0 million to $2.5 million was 74 days; from $2.5 million to $5.0 million jumped to 225 days and finally, those priced above $5.0 million was 1,330 days! Clearly, the higher priced homes may have to undergo more aggressive price concessions to move in this bipolar market environment.

Days of Unsold Inventory is an indicator I use to gauge whether the market is a Buyer's market, Seller's market or what we call a Balanced market. In Santa Clara County, the Buyer's market are for those areas above 90 DUI a Seller's market would have a DUI reading under 45. Balanced markets are those in between.

Reversal for Reverse Mortgages -- Wells Fargo, following Bank of America's lead a couple of months ago, announced they were leaving this market. This means that the two large banks controlling 50% of this market left! This does not bode well for the future as less competition means even higher rates and fees, something not pleasant for the consumer. Reverse mortgages were inherently high-cost items to begin with and in the past I've recommended clients being extremely careful of them. In theory reverse mortgages were good but more difficult certainly in practice.

Mortgage rates remain very favorable in the range in the high 4's. Since most buyers need a loan to purchase a home, mortgage rates are a major consideration in the decision and ability of the buyers to purchase.

Thanks for reading my blog. I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- Let me know your comments, questions, observations you may have or any future topics you'd like me to address.

April Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Comments

Here are my observations of the most recent March transactions for Santa Clara County real estate and San Mateo County real estate. Your comments and questions are always welcome. If you see something in your neighborhood that you are curious about or have a question, please don't hesitate to share with us. If you have questions or a comment, please leave them here, or feel free to contact me through my website.

> General Market Observations and Comments -- Closings turned up sharply in March, indicating much stronger markets in Silicon Valley. Additionally, the amount of homes available for sale (supply) has increased as it usually does in the last winter, early spring. However, what's different is that the rate of increase is lower than the average over the last ten years.

Demand continues to point to single family residences (SFR) and away from condos/townhouses. My advice for buyers: if you prefer the life-style of a condo or townhouse, there are better buys possible. Yes, they have homeowner association dues that often cover additional ownership features and benefits (e.g., utilities, pool/spa, exercise rooms, and the like) but the owner doesn't have to worry about it.

As for the available homes for sale -- we're seeing a bipolar market. Homes priced well and in good condition, sell quickly and get the most activity (i.e., higher prices, quicker sale). Overpriced homes or those in poor locations or in poor condition stay on the market far longer and eventually sell with lower prices or as "fixer uppers" or "fix and flips".

Last month, I stated that one of the hot markets was the area comprising the cities of Mountain View, Los Altos and Palo Alto. This continues to occur but has spilled out to include some adjacent areas. One case involves Sunnyvale, where homes in the Cupertino school attendance area are selling rather quickly with multiple offers if they are good values and in good condition. These include those with list prices above $1 million.

Mortgage rates remain in the high 4 to low 5% range. Certainly this is positive inducement for buyer's home affordability. If rates go to 5 1/2%, that would be equivalent to a 10% increase in the price in terms of affordability. Those buyers needing financing could be forced to "buy down" or not buy at all if rates should seek higher ground.

Since there were problems obtaining accurate statistical information on March transactions, I thought to at least provide you some of my observations. I'm available for consultation if you are seeking marketing intelligence and strategies as you gel your real estate plans.

Thanks for reading my blog. I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- Let me know your comments, questions, observations you may have or any future topics you'd like me to address.

March Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Highlights

Here are the highlights of February transactions and market comments for Santa Clara County real estate and San Mateo County real estate. Your comments and questions are always welcome. If you see something in your neighborhood that you are curious about or have a question, please don't hesitate to share with us. If you have questions or a comment, please leave them here, or feel free to contact me through my website.

> Market Overview -- The decrease in the amount of closed sales in both counties continues, an indicator of slowing markets. Closings of single family residences (SFR) in Santa Clara County decreased slightly from last month to 632 at match the level of the same month a year ago. For San Mateo County, SFR closings were 221, down from 234 last month and down from 230 from the same month a year ago. My analysis of the transactional information reveals:

* The supply of single family residences available for sale (inventory) in Santa Clara County, increased to 2,417 from 2,335 and is 10.1% higher than the same month a year ago. Similarly, we saw San Mateo County's inventory jump to 1,158 from 1,088 last month and was 18.2% higher than the same month a year ago. Keep in mind that many sellers remove their homes from the marketplace at the end of the year so this is not unexpected to see an increase into the first part of a year. The rate of increase is not too steep so that portends a more positive market environment. Generally, inventory is about on track with the ten-year average -- not too high or not too low. Against this backdrop, the market continues more positive in Santa Clara County than in San Mateo County.

* 46.5% of sellers in Santa Clara County get at least list price for their homes! In San Mateo County, the corresponding percentage is 43.9%. This is another indicator that the overall market remains stronger in Santa Clara County. Also, these indicators have perked up a bit in each county.

* Days of Unsold Inventory (DUI), continues to move lower making for a more positive market in both counties. We watch this important indicator closely to provide insight into how the market is handling demand and supply. DUI is a calculation using both supply and demand so is not an opinion. A higher figure for DUI, then, means the market is becoming weaker. For February, Santa Clara County had a DUI of 56 for SFR's, down from 62, 58 for condos/townhouses, down from 64 and 99 for multi-unit properties, up slightly from 95. San Mateo County had a DUI for SFR's of 71 down from 85 last month, 87 for condos/townhouses down from 103. Once again, all readings continue to point to a more positive market for Santa Clara County.

> Seller Markets? -- For Santa Clara County the hottest (seller) market areas are Santa Teresa, South San Jose, and East Valley portions of San Jose followed by the market area comprising Mountain View, Los Altos and Palo Alto. For San Mateo County, there were again NO hot markets! A seller's market has characteristics of a shorter time on the market, fewer number of homes available for sale, higher demand by buyers along with a tendency for multiple offers and sale prices generally exceeding list prices. A seller's market area has a potential of price appreciation.

> Buyer's Markets? -- For Santa Clara County, we see buyer's markets in the Willow Glen area of San Jose and Campbell. Willow Glen is currently my "Best Buy" area in the county. For San Mateo County, we see buyer's markets in Foster City/Redwood Shores and especially the San Mateo Coast cities. The "Bay Cities" of San Mateo County like San Mateo, Redwood City, etc. are a bit cool. What makes a buyer's market is the relationship of supply to demand -- simply put as higher supply relative to demand, the area will have the characteristics of a longer time on the market, higher number of homes available for sale, lower demand by buyers which translates into a lower probability of multiple offers and a tendency for price stabilization or even price depreciation. We see buyer's market areas have price reductions before a buyer makes an offer.

Where do I get "Seller's" and "Buyer's" market information? This is not based on price levels but a calculation I make using the number of homes for sale (supply) and the number of sales (demand) in the prior month which results in days of unsold inventory (DUI).

> Median prices have moved lower in Santa Clara County but increased in San Mateo County -- The median price for SFR's in Santa Clara County has decreased for the last several months. It now stands at $530,000, versus $532,000, or a 0.4% decrease from last month and a decrease of 4.0% from the same month a year ago. The median price for condos/townhouses was unavailable due to incomplete data. San Mateo County's median price for SFR's was $640,000, up 8.5% from $590,000 last month and down 2.3% from the same month a year ago. The median price for San Mateo County condo/townhouses was $372,500, up 1.4% from $367,500 last month and down 1.7% from the same month a year ago. I continue to advise my clients NOT to use an entire county's median price level to decide whether to buy or sell or time the market as market areas within each county differ. For instance, I see divergencies in the different market areas in each county so these are general statements. Ask me to provide you with how your area compares.

> $5+ million sales return! -- More rare is the fact that there are now some high end transactions that have taken place in Santa Clara and San Mateo counties. Matter of fact, there were 7 sales in each county last month. I use this as a leading indicator of market conditions which have swung to positive in other price ranges as well.

Need help with understanding the market in your area? For instance, how can there be a difference between the relatively hot market conditions in Los Altos and Palo Alto but very cool market conditions in Campbell? Give me a call or email me for a no-obligation consultation and research to arm you with market intelligence to help you make a better, more-informed decision.


Thanks for reading my blog. I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- Let me know your comments, questions, observations you may have or any future topics you'd like me to address.

World Class Chocolates in the Valley of Hearts Delight

You've made dinner reservations at a romantic restaurant (I did at Birk's Restaurant in Santa Clara, CA) and you might have picked up a little something for her at her favorite store, perhaps even some nice long-stems. Of course, there's always sweets for your sweets for Valentine's Day.


Here is a selection of some world class chocolatiers from Palo Alto, Sunnyvale, Saratoga, Los Gatos and Santa Cruz:


Chocolate Dream Box - Handcrafted European style chocolates specializing in gifts for holidays such as Valentine's Day

* 710 Blossom Hill Road, Los Gatos. 408-356-2626


Fleur e Cocoa Patisserie Chocolaterie - Offering cakes, pastries, chocolates, light lunch & more

39 N. Santa Cruz Avenue, Los Gatos. 408-354-3574


Richard Donnelly Chocolates - Handmade, award winning chocolates

* 1509 Mission Street, Santa Cruz. 888-685-1871


Saratoga Chocolates
* 14572-B Big Basin Way, Saratoga. 408-872-1431


Chocolatier Desiree - Featuring Belgian chocolates

* 165 South Murphy Avenue, #C, Sunnyvale, CA 94086 408-289-1562


Shokolaat - Fine dining with a special Valentine's Day menu

* 516 University Avenue, Palo Alto. 650-289-0719


Sugar Butter Flour - Desserts, chocolates & more

* 669 S. Bernardo Avenue, Sunnyvale. 408-732-8597





How About Wine with Chocolate? Selections from Los Gatos and San Jose...

Testarossa Vineyards
Testarossa Vineyards (formerly Novitiate Winery) is hosting a wine and chocolate pairing event on Saturday, February 12th and Sunday, February 13th from 12:00pm to 4:00pm. Check their details on their website.

J. Lohr Winery
Brunch Sunday, February 13th catered by Jeffreys 11:00am - 1:00pm




Happy Valentine's Day!

November Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Highlights

Here are the highlights of October transactions and market comments for Santa Clara County real estate and San Mateo County real estate. Your comments and questions are always welcome. If you see something in your neighborhood that you are curious about or have a question, please don't hesitate to share with us. If you have questions or a comment, please leave them here, or feel free to contact me through my website.

> Market Overview -- The last several months has seen a continual decrease in the amount of sales in both counties, an indicator of slowing markets. Closings of single family residences (SFR) in Santa Clara County decreased and were at 780, 24.0%lower than the same month a year ago. Even though the amount of sales in San Mateo County rose a bit from September, the same general decline exists. My analysis of the transactional information reveals:

* The supply of homes available for sale (inventory), which was increasing later in the year (far longer than in most years), has now reversed course and is following historical trends in both counties. As usual for this time of year, inventory tends to drift lower. We'll see, I'm sure, a major drop-off at the end of the year as many listing agreements seem to expire on 12/31 of each year. Still, the market overall remains more positive in Santa Clara County.

* 44% of sellers in Santa Clara County get at least list price for their homes! In San Mateo County, the corresponding percentage is a bit over 39%. This is another indicator that the overall market remains stronger in Santa Clara County. Also, these indicators have drifted lower and underscore a slowing market in both counties -- usual for this time of year.

* Days of Unsold Inventory (DUI) has turned the corner and is now heading down. this could portend a market that is gaining strength and could point, if it continues, to a more positive market condition in 2011. We shall keep an eye on this important indicator. As we have discussed, DUI is conceptually the inverse of inventory turns ratio and represents a calculation using both supply and demand. A higher figure for DUI, then, means the market is becoming weaker. For October, Santa Clara County had a DUI of 70 for SFR, 87 for condos/townhouses and 193 for multi-unit properties. San Mateo County had a DUI reading of 99 for SFR's, 136 for condos/townhouses and a whopping 395 for multi-unit properties. Once again, notice that all readings were lower, hence more positive, for Santa Clara County.

> Seller Markets? -- For Santa Clara County the hottest (seller) market areas are South San Jose, East Valley (SJ), Milpitas, North Valley (SJ) and the area comprising the cities of Mountain View, Los Altos and Palo Alto. A seller's market has shorter time on the market, fewer number of homes available for sale, higher demand by buyers with a tendency to have multiple offers and sale prices generally exceeding list prices with a potential of price appreciation.

> Buyer's Markets? -- For Santa Clara County, we see buyer's markets in Almaden Valley (SJ) and Willow Glen (SJ). Almaden Valley is my current "Best Buy" area in the county. What makes a "buyers" market is the relationship of supply to demand -- simply put as higher supply and lower demand. The characteristics of a buyer's market is a longer time on the market, higher number of homes available for sale, lower demand by buyers which translates into a lower probability of multiple offers and a tendency for price stabilization or even price depreciation.

Where do I get "Seller's" and "Buyer's" market information? This is not an opinion or based on price levels but a calculation I make using the number of homes for sale (supply) and the number of sales (demand) in the prior month which results in days of unsold inventory (DUI).

> Median price situation -- Santa Clara County median price for SFR's has mainly remained flat to slightly nudging upwards. It now stands at $641,500, an increase of 8.1% from the same month a year ago. The median price for condos/townhouses was $330,000, a 8.6% drop from last year. San Mateo County's median price for SFR's was $675,000 and represented a 3.8% decrease from the same month a year ago. The median price for San Mateo County condo/townhouses was $380,000, a drop of 5.0% from last year. I continue to advise my clients NOT to use an entire county's median price level to decide whether to buy or sell or time the market. To formulate an effective strategy, I recommend the use of the supply-demand characteristics for the neighborhood under consideration.

> Short Shift? -- REO's (bank-owned homes) and short sale listings are termed "lender-controlled" transactions. Bottom line is that short sale homes sell but are a lot less apt to close. Here's a chart of the latest breakdown to illustrate my point:

You can see that short sales, comprise 25% of the available inventory and 35% of the pendings, only comprise 16% of the closings.

> Buyers get ready -- Last month I mentioned that buyers need to think about a time of year when there is historically less activity and a good time of the year to do that is when we approach and are in the holiday period of the year. We're seeing the inventory of available homes decrease and those homes remaining on the market, in all likelihood, have sellers that have a higher motivation to sell.

Need help with understanding the market in your area? Give me a call or email me for a no-obligation consultation and research to arm you with market intelligence to help you make a better, more-informed decision.


Thanks for reading my blog. I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- Let me know your comments, questions, observations you may have or any future topics you'd like me to address.

Silicon Valley Martin Luther King Day Events & Holidays Closings Information

This is a partial list of area events celebrating Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Day on Monday, January, 18st.

* Annual Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Luncheon. Keynote speaker will be Bryan Monroe, CEO of Monroe Media Group and former editorial director of Ebony magazines, speaks. 11:00am to 2:00pm, Monday, January 18st, Parkside Hall, 180 Park Avenue, San Jose. $55. 408-292-3157. www.mlksantaclaravalley.com

* MLK Freedom Train. Join King devotees aboard the San Francisco-bound Freedom Train on Monday for a trip to the Bill Graham Civic Auditorium. Leaves Diridon Station at 9:30am and makes stops in Sunnyvale, Palo Alto and San Mateo. Tickets, $10, must be purchased in advance. 408-861-5352. www.brownpapertickets.com/event/86924

* Freedom March. Public participation encouraged in a re-enactment of a civil rights march supporting King's ideals. Noon-2:00pm, February 6th, Dr. Martin King Library, 150 E. San Fernando St., San Jose. 408-808-2183. www.sjlibrary.org.

* Treading the Dream. Live music, art and fashion shows celebrating the dream of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Includes wine tasting and appetizers. 6:00pm-9:00pm, Sunday, January 17th. X Studio, 2147 S. 10th St., San Jose. $10-15. 408-826-2498.

* Birthday celebration. Storyteller Diane Ferlatte leads a program of stories and songs about King. 12:30, 2:00 and 3:30pm, Monday. Children's Discovery Museum, 180 Woz Way, San Jose. 408-298-5437. www.cdm.org.

* Community cleanup. Join others removing graffiti and litter from neighborhoods, parks and along Coyote Creek, 8:30am - 12:30pm, Monday. Meet at Happy Hollow Park & Zoo, 1300 Senter Road, San Jose. Must be age 12 and older. Ages 12-18 must be accompanied by an adult chaperone. 408-794-6400.



Holiday Closings: Federal, State offices will be closed. County offices in Santa Clara, San Mateo, Alameda, Santa Cruz, Monterey, San Benito all will be closed. City offices in the above counties will be closed. No mail delivery. Libraries will be closed. Schools in the above counties will be closed. Banks, title & escrow firms will be closed.



Thanks for reading!