Friday, May 24, 2013
Silicon Valley Real Estate Trends
Similarly, the median price in April for condos and townhouses in Santa Clara County was $510,000, compared to $349,000 the same month a year ago which was a phenomenal 46% change.
For San Mateo County, the San Mateo real estate trends showed the April median price at $956,000, compared to $760,000, last year or a 25.8% increase.
As you know, a median price figure is the middle transaction so this statistical calculation won't necessarily translate into an across the board increase for each and every home. What it does indicate is a strong market pressure and an upward trend for the Silicon Valley real estate market.
The frequency of the sale prices exceeding list prices is 73% in Santa Clara County and 68% in San Mateo County. An indicator of the magnitude shows that the sale price to list price ratio averages 106.1% and 105.8% in Santa Clara County and San Mateo County, respectively.
An indicator I track closely in addition to the above ones, is the median days on market. This represents how long it takes for one-half of the listings to sell. In Santa Clara County, it is 10 days but just 9 in the Cupertino and Sunnyvale market area (hottest area in the county with a median sale price of $1,223,000) to 17 in the South County area which comprises Morgan Hill to Gilroy with a median sale price of $629,000. For the current San Mateo real estate trends, it is but 11 days.
If a listing lingers on the market significantly longer than the median, well then it is a candidate for an analysis to determine the possible cause(s) including price, condition, marketing, etc.
As the old Meat Loaf song went, "two out of three ain't bad". The last three buyers I helped recently, two strategies out of the three were successful. In the first one, with multiple offers, my advice to my buyers was to offer in a range above list price and doing so beat out the second-place offer by just $1,000 with eight offers and a sale price over $800,000. In the second transaction, the strategy devised by and used by my buyers failed. They calculated a dollars per square foot against comparable homes. For residential, this approach only works when you get lucky as in winning the lotto but I use this in addition to other aspects in my commercial transactions. Their offer came in tenth out of ten and they missed purchasing a beautiful home by over $100,000. For the third one, my buyer listened and followed my advice to offer in a range above list price and even though he didn't have the highest priced offer, the seller did accept his offer and closed recently. For this one, there was more to my strategy than just price so on that basis, he won. In the two successes, I not only gave advice on the minimum but on the maximum to pay for the home. By the way, my long-term average performance is a success rate of 60% so these last three upped my average slightly!
In the last few weeks, I've noticed a change in the market in the favor of the buyers! Many homes have generated multiple offers but not to the extent that we saw in the early part of the year. This is in keeping with the historical tendency as we near Memorial Day weekend that buyers decide they have other things to do -- e.g., graduations, weddings, anniversaries, planning for vacation when school gets out, etc. Also noted is that the inventory levels or those homes available to purchase have risen lately, affording more choices for buyers. For single family residences, the highest inventory in seven months and for condos and townhouses, the highest level in eleven months!
Notwithstanding my prior comments about the market conditions during April, buyers that have pulled back from actively looking for a home for whatever reason, now stand a much better chance of being able to buy with less competition than in the recent past. Mortgage rates still remain favorable but have nudged up a bit but still in artificially low levels as the Feds continue to purchase a mixture of U.S. Treasury and mortgage-backed securities to the tune of about $85 billion per month! Their most recent comments contain a lot of double-speak thus raising the risk of a change in their programs -- e.g., less buying and the risk of higher mortgage rates. In following the money, a lot of the funds created in the banking system have gone into asset categories like stocks and real estate (Google recently hit $900 and LinkedIn $200). This is the "new" way the government prints money.
Please leave a comment or question if there is something you'd like to hear more about or would like information about the market in your neighborhood or contact me through my website or send me an email. Thank you for reading!
Friday, April 12, 2013
April Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update
The median days on the market or what it takes to sell one-half of those on the market, sell in just 11 days in Santa Clara County and 12 days in San Mateo County -- indicating a hot seller's market. For March, 792 homes closed escrow last month in Santa Clara County, up from 621 in February and 333 did so in San Mateo County versus 247 last month. Comparing March of 2013 with previous Marches, this month was the third slowest in terms of closings.
Both counties continue to have the characteristics of a seller's market generally. During March, more than half of the closings had a sales price greater than a list price (68% in Santa Clara County and 62% in San Mateo County with both percentages increasing from February). For owners thinking of selling, it is important to understand the market dynamics in their particular market area. For many, this remains an excellent time to sell.
Median Prices are Jumping -- The trends of median prices of single family, condo and townhouse homes continue upwards. For single family residences, March saw Santa Clara County's median price, half above and half below or the middle transaction, at $731,000 and the median sales price for San Mateo County increased to $950,000. The upwards trend has been evident since the Spring of 2009. By the way, market bottoms were also established during this time in both stock indices and commodities.
Recent Overbidding Levels Remain High -- The percentage where sale price is greater than list price gives us an indication of the incidence of multiple offers. Already mentioned is the frequency of overbidding (sale price greater than list price 68% of the time in Santa Clara County and 62% in San Mateo County) but a more telling aspect is the magnitude or sales price to list price ratio (SP/LP). In Santa Clara County, the average SP/LP ratio is 105.2 or in the average transaction the seller gets 5.2% above the list price. Hottest area is Los Altos and Palo Alto with 109.7. The Cupertino and Sunnyvale market area was just behind with a ratio of 108.9. In San Mateo County the numbers look similar. Overall, the county average is 104.8 and the highest is Bay Cities market area of Belmont, Burlingame, Millbrae, San Carlos, San Mateo with 107.4.
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| Yahoo! World Headquarters - Sunnyvale, CA |
Thanks for reading! I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- On Google+ at +Tom McEvoy. Let me know if you have any comments, questions, observations or any future topics you'd like me to address.
Tuesday, March 19, 2013
March Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update
Median Prices are Jumping -- The trends of median prices of single family, condo and townhouse homes march upwards. For single family residences, February saw Santa Clara County's median price, half above and half below or the middle transaction, at $713,000 and the median sales price for San Mateo County increased to $820,000. The upwards trend has been evident since the Spring of 2009. By the way, market bottoms were also established during this time in both stock indices and commodities.
Recent Overbidding Levels Remain High -- The percentage where sale price is greater than list price gives us an indication of the incidence of multiple offers. Already mentioned is the frequency of overbidding (sale price greater than list price 63% of the time in Santa Clara County and 60% in San Mateo County) but a more telling aspect is the magnitude or sales price to list price ratio (SP/LP). In Santa Clara County, the average SP/LP ratio is 103.9% or in the average transaction the seller gets 3.9% above the list price. Hottest area is Cupertino and Sunnyvale with 110.0. In San Mateo County the numbers look similar. Overall, the average is 104.6 and the highest is Bay Cities market area of Belmont, Burlingame, Milbrae, San Carlos, San Mateo with 107.5.
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| Murphy Avenue called Murphy Street in Sunnyvale, CA |
What Will Mortgage Rates Do? -- Those with an adjustable rate mortgage might want to think about a refinance in the not too distant future. Yes, the FED has been trying to maintain a low-rate environment by the purchase of mortgage-backed securities with the expressed purpose of keeping rates low to spur the economy. Problem is that those funds have and are moving into assets -- stocks, commodities and real estate. The economy can't "absorb" these funds as companies wait to get more understanding of the moving target of tax increases and a higher level of regulation (Obamacare, Dodd-Frank, to name a couple) overhanging the economy, not to mention the huge budget deficits which imply higher taxes ahead.
So, in answer to the question, yes, they will go up. It could occur relatively quickly when the FED senses there is more inflation than they are willing to tolerate or when investors demand higher yields on government securities to compensate for a perceived higher level of risk and/or the real or potential for increased inflation. The FED has had a history of either too much/too long of money creation or ratcheting up rates too far/too long to squeeze the economy.
Thanks for reading! I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- On Google+ at +Tom McEvoy. Let me know if you have any comments, questions, observations or any future topics you'd like me to address.
Friday, February 15, 2013
February Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update
Median Prices Continue to Increase -- The trend of median prices of single family, condo and townhouse homes continue upwards. For single family residences, January saw Santa Clara County's median price, half above and half below or the middle transaction, at $661,000 and the median sales price for San Mateo County decreased slightly to $715,000 from the previous month. The upwards trend has been evident since the Spring of 2009 -- not in a straight line but a varied line.
Recent Overbidding Levels Remain High -- The percentage where sale price is greater than list price gives us an indication of multiple offers. The talked about the frequency of overbidding (sale price greater than list price 55% of the time in Santa Clara County and 53% in San Mateo County) but a more telling aspect is the magnitude or sales price to list price ratio (SP/LP). In Santa Clara County, the average SP/LP ratio is 102.4% or in the average transaction the seller gets 2.4% above the list price. Hottest area is Cupertino and Sunnyvale with 106.0. In San Mateo County the numbers look similar. Overall, the average is 102.4 and the highest is Foster City/Redwood Shores with 104.9.
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| Murphy Avenue called Murphy Street in Sunnyvale, CA |
Mortgage Rates Bottom? -- While mortgage rates remain at or near recent lows, buyers contemplating a purchase may be surprised to learn that rates have moved up. A new issue of U.S. Treasury 10-year notes were sold at a price to yield 2.02%. This is an increase from the record low of about 1.50%. The Fed continues to monitize debt (buy mortgage-backed and other debt-securities to the tune of about $85 billion a month -- an annual rate of $1+ trillion). This puts money into the banking system and investors have to put it somewhere. Since the economy remains generally sluggish, the money predominately ends up in assets (e.g., stocks, commodities and yes, real estate). It remains long-term prudent to lock in rates before the market moves much farther away from these levels.
Thanks for reading! I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- On Google+ at +Tom McEvoy. Let me know if you have any comments, questions, observations or any future topics you'd like me to address.
Thursday, February 7, 2013
World Class Chocolates and More in the Valley of Hearts Delight
Here is a selection of some world class chocolatiers from Sunnyvale, Saratoga, Los Gatos and Santa Cruz:
Chocolate Dream Box - Handcrafted European style chocolates specializing in gifts for holidays such as Valentine's Day
* 710 Blossom Hill Road, Los Gatos. 408-356-2626
Fleur e Cocoa Patisserie Chocolaterie - Offering cakes, pastries, chocolates, light lunch & more
* 39 N. Santa Cruz Avenue, Los Gatos. 408-354-3574
Richard Donnelly Chocolates - Handmade, award winning chocolates
* 1509 Mission Street, Santa Cruz. 888-685-1871
* 14572-B Big Basin Way, Saratoga. 408-872-1431
Chocolatier Desiree - Featuring Belgian chocolates
* 165 S. Murphy Avenue, #C, Sunnyvale, CA 94086 408-306-3127
Shokolaat - CLOSED on July 1, 2012. If you have purchased or received a gift certificate please email them a scanned copy of the gift certificate at shokolaatpaloalto@shokolaat.com and they will refund your gift certificate in full.
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| SBF - 12 Piece Box Set |
Sugar Butter Flour - (SBF) Desserts, chocolates & more
* 669 S. Bernardo Avenue, Sunnyvale. 408-732-8597
Testarossa Vineyards
Testarossa Vineyards (formerly Novitiate of Los Gatos Winery) is hosting a wine, cheese and chocolate tasting on Saturday, February 11th from 11:00am to 4:00pm. Reservations strongly recommended at 408-354-6150 x21 or email tastingroom@testarossa.com.
J. Lohr Winery
Valentine's Day Dinner, Thursday, February 14th is unfortunately SOLD OUT. Keep them in mind for another day/year! For instance, they have wine and cheese pairings on most Fridays!
Happy Valentine's Day!
Thursday, January 10, 2013
January Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update
Median Prices Continue to Increase -- Median prices of single family, condo and townhouse homes continue upwards. For single family residences, December saw Santa Clara County's median price, half above and half below or the middle transaction, increase to $697,000 and the median sales price for San Mateo County decreased slightly to $810,000 from the previous month. The upwards trend has been evident since the Spring of 2009.
Recent Overbidding Levels Remain High -- We talked about the frequency of overbidding (sale price greater than list price in 58% of the closes) but a more telling aspect is the magnitude or sales price to list price ratio (SP/LP). In Santa Clara County, the average SP/LP ratio is 102.7% or in the average transaction the seller gets 2.7% above the list price. Hottest area is Los Altos/Palo Alto with 105.9. In San Mateo County the numbers look similar. Overall, the average is 102.3 and the highest is Foster City/Redwood Shores with 104.2.
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| Foster City, California |
Mortgage Rates Bottom? -- While mortgage rates remain at or near recent lows, buyers contemplating a purchase may be surprised to learn that rates moved up. Current U.S. Treasury 10-year notes are quoted at 1.90%, up from the record low of about 1.50% and bond prices look to be topping, it may be long-term prudent to lock in rates before the market moves the rates away from these levels.
Thanks for reading! I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- On Google+ at +Tom McEvoy. Let me know if you have any comments, questions, observations or any future topics you'd like me to address.
Friday, December 14, 2012
December Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update
Here are my observations of the most recent November transactions for Santa Clara County real estate and San Mateo County real estate. Your comments and questions are always welcome. If you see something in your neighborhood that you are curious about or have a question, please don't hesitate to share with us. If you have questions or a comment, please leave them here, or feel free to contact me through my website or send me an email.
General Market Observations and Comments -- As we get closer to the end of the year, the amount of homes (single family and condos and townhouses) currently available for sale decrease at an even faster clip. Part of this is due to the seasonality aspect and the other is that this continues the trend set in motion from the early part of this year. Lowered inventory usually advantages sellers. At this level, we are not close to a record low point reached in early 2000. Possible we can set a new record, yes, as there is still time left in the year! Both counties have the characteristics of a seller's market in most market areas but not all. During November, more than half of the closings had a sales price greater than a list price (58% in Santa Clara County and 62% in San Mateo County). It bears repeating that a well-priced listing has a tendency to develop more activity and have a much higher chance of generating multiple offers.
Which Half Are You? -- In November, it took just 14 days to sell half of the homes in Santa Clara County and 15 in San Mateo County! Keep in mind that these are countywide averages. A neighborhood may vary from these figures so it's best to contact your Realtor for a current reading.
In Santa Clara County, the fastest market area is Cupertino and Sunnyvale (zip codes 95014, 94086, 94087) with a median days on market of just 10 whereas the slowest is Los Gatos and Saratoga with a median days on market of 33 for those that closed escrow during the month. For San Mateo County, the fastest market area is Redwood City with 11 whereas the slowest is the San Mateo Coast area comprising the communities of Half Moon Bay, El Granada, Moss Beach, Montara with 46.
Median Prices Increase -- Median prices of single family, condo and townhouse homes continue upwards. For single family residences, November saw Santa Clara County's median price, half above and half below or the middle transaction, increase to $685,000 and the median sales price for San Mateo County increased to $820,000.Inventory of Available Homes for Sale Continue at Low Levels -- There were just 794 single family residences for sale and 180 condos/townhouses in Santa Clara County and just 455 single family residences in San Mateo County. Not record lows but each are about 60% lower than the same month a year ago.Where Have All the REO's Gone? -- In Santa Clara County, just 10% of the active listings are lender-controlled transactions. That is either Short Sales (pre-foreclosure, 6%) or REO's (bank-owned, 4%). Fully 90% are regular or equity sales! In San Mateo County, the numbers are similar -- Regular 91%, Short Sale 5% and REO's 3%. True, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac tends to slow the rate of foreclosures down a bit around the holidays but the trend was still evident before.
In Santa Clara County, for the Sunnyvale and Cupertino (zip codes 94086, 94087, 95014) market area, there were exactly none with 51 active single family residence listings. Ditto for Redwood Shores/Foster City area in San Mateo County with just five active listings.
What's HOT and What's NOT -- In Santa Clara County, the hottest market area comprises Santa Teresa, North Valley, Milpitas, Blossom Valley with a Days of Unsold Inventory (DUI) of 15. In San Mateo County, the hottest area is Foster City/Redwood Shores with a DUI of 10. What's not is Los Gatos/Saratoga in Santa Clara County with a DUI of 61 and the expensive areas of Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough and Woodside in San Mateo County with a DUI of 99.
Thanks for reading! I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- Let me know if you have any comments, questions, observations or any future topics you'd like me to address.







