November Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: Well, when someone tells you the market is dropping, that's false! We are still seeing year over year increases in the median prices for each county. They may be referring to sequential changes which due to seasonality are bit comparable. The supply of homes available for sale or inventory has jumped in each county with the number of accepted offers (sales) down a bit in Santa Clara County but up in San Mateo County. Demand continues below supply but the difference is more pronounced. Buyers take note as this may not last too long. Sellers, you will need to be more aggressive in pricing and look to your competition. The year over year median in Santa Clara County was up 3.6% to $1,295,000 in October and in San Mateo County the median price was $1,594,000 as compared to $1,525,000 last year at this time or a gain of 4.5%. Condo and townhouse median in Santa Clara County reached $900,000 in October compared to $767,000 last year or a jump of 17.3%. My theory is that condos and townhouses have a lower price of entry into a home than a single family home and we may be seeing an impact of higher mortgage rates which are in the 4 3/4-5% range. Even in this tempered environment 54.0% of homes in Santa Clara County that closed escrow in October sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and the seventh highest rate for this time of year (last year was a record 75.4%). It was 68% in San Mateo County versus 84% last year.

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was 1,393, up from 618 or 125% from last year. Sales (accepted offers) were an anemic 918 down 7.2% from the same month last year when is was 989.

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 545 in October versus 318 last year or an increase of 71%. Sales (accepted offers) were 382 compared to 312 for the same month last year or an increase of 22.4%. 

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during October, stood at 101.9% compared to last year's ratio of 107.9%.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the Palo Alto/Los Altos market area (median price of about $3.27 million) at 105.2% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 5.2% higher than the list price! It also registered a median days on market of just 10 which means half the inventory sells in just a bit over a week and 61% of closings sold above list price! The coolest is the Los Gatos/Saratoga market area (median price of about $2.50 million) with 98.8%.

Days of unsold inventory moved up a bit and stand at 53 for Santa Clara County and 41 for San Mateo County. These are substantially higher than last year's figures of 22 and 31, respectively.

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 106.0% with the highest ratio and hottest market area is in the North (Brisbane, Colma, Daly City, Pacifica, San Bruno, South San Francisco) market area (median price of about $1.05 million) at 109.6% with a median days on market of 16. As I pointed out before, one important advantage of this area is its proximity to San Francisco and a heck of a lot less expensive to purchase or to rent! The coolest is the Coast (Half Moon Bay, El Granada, Moss Beach, Montara) market area (median price of about $1.35 million) at 99.4% with median days on the market of 20. 

As always, markets are always changing and the supply and demand in a particular area or even neighborhood can vary. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your RE/MAX Gold Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have 775 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

October Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: Since mid year, we've seen the supply or inventory of homes available exceed demand in a meaningful amount since mid 2016. This has contributed to a slowing down or settling of the market, especially in Santa Clara County. This said, we still have the characteristics of a seller's market with a lot more competition from other sellers now than earlier in the year. Those that are more aggressively priced still sell relatively quickly but generate far fewer offers. In about 18 of the past 20 years, we witness a second spurt of buyer activity after the Labor Day weekend. This year it went proof! The year over year median in Santa Clara County was up 7.2% to $1,265,000 in September and in San Mateo County the median price was $1,650,000 as compared to $1,465,000 last year at this time or a gain of 12.6%. Inventories are up significantly in each county. Condo and townhouse median in Santa Clara County reached $865,000 in September compared to $720,000 last year or a jump of 20.1%. My theory is a lower price of entry into a home than a single family home. Even in this tempered environment 54.6% of homes in Santa Clara County that closed escrow in September sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and the fourth highest rate for this time of year (last year was a record 70.4%). It was 69% in San Mateo County versus 72% last year.

At least weekly, I review the previous week's statistical and transactional data and there has been much smaller inventory increases AND the number of homes with a pending status (those with an accepted offer) have jumped. Could this be a harbinger of higher activity and a turning point? We'll see! Some buyers are now facing 5% mortgages so they may be "forced" to get off the fence or perhaps be faced purchasing a smaller home. 

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was 1,408, up from 700 or 101% from last year. Sales (accepted offers) were an anemic 1,006 down 2.1% from the same month last year when is was 1,028.

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 553 in September versus 396 last year or an increase of 40%. Sales (accepted offers) were 436 compared to 414 for the same month last year or an increase of 5.3%. 

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during September, stood at 102.3% compared to last year's ratio of 105.9%.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the Palo Alto/Los Altos market area (median price of about $3.00 million) at 105.4% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 5.4% higher than the list price! It also registered a median days on market of just 11 which means half the inventory sells in just a bit over a week and 62% of closings sold above list price! The coolest is the South County (Morgan Hill, Gilroy, San Martin) market area (median price of about $0.91 million) with 99.8% and 83 days of unsold inventory.

Days of unsold inventory moved up a bit and stand at 49 for Santa Clara County and 44 for San Mateo County. These are substantially higher than last year's figures of 25 and 37, respectively.

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 107.3% with the highest ratio and hottest market area is in the North (Brisbane, Colma, Daly City, Pacifica, San Bruno, South San Francisco) market area (median price of about $1.11 million) at 111.5% with a median days on market of 14. As I pointed out before, one important advantage of this area is its proximity to San Francisco and a heck of a lot less expensive to purchase or to rent! The coolest is the Coast (Half Moon Bay, El Granada, Moss Beach, Montara) market area (median price of about $1.42 million) at 99.7% with median days on the market of 83. 

As always, markets are always changing and the supply and demand in a particular area or even neighborhood can vary. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your RE/MAX Gold Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have 775 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

September Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: We're witnessing a continuing settling down of the market. As I mentioned last month, the foot is off the pedal so the market is slowing. We still have the characteristics of a seller's market BUT there's more competition for sellers now than earlier in the year. You've noticed more signs out and probably wondering why homes on the market near you are staying on the market longer. Those that are more aggressively priced still sell relatively quickly but generate far fewer offers. Most years we see a "spike' of sorts in the level of buyer activity after Labor Day weekend and this year is no different. There is increased activity but again not to the level of earlier in the year. The year over year median in Santa Clara County was up 11.3% to $1,280,000 in August and in San Mateo County the median price was $1,475,000 as compared to $1,423,000 last year at this time or a gain of just 3.7%. Inventories are up significantly in each county. Condo and townhouse median in Santa Clara County reached $924,000 in August compared to $760,000 last year same month or an increase of 21.6%. In Santa Clara County 67.4% of homes that closed escrow in August sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and the second highest rate for this time of year (last year was a record 74.4%. It was 77% in San Mateo County. 

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was 1,197, up from 723 or 65.6% from last year. Sales (accepted offers) were an anemic 942 down 16.7% from the same month last year when is was 1,131.

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 498 in August versus 330 last year or an increase of 50.9%. Sales (accepted offers) were 357 for August compared to 393 for the same month last year. 

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during August this stood at 104.1% and one of the highest ever for this time of the year. Last year at this time it stood at 106.4%.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the Palo Alto/Los Altos market area (median price of about $3.40 million) at 109.9% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 9.9% higher than the list price! It also registered the lowest median days on market at just 9 which means half the inventory sells in just a bit over a week and 77% of closings sold above list price! The coolest is the South County (Morgan Hill, Gilroy, San Martin) market area (median price of about $0.93 million) with 101.7% and 63 days of unsold inventory.

Days of unsold inventory moved up a bit and stand at 44 for Santa Clara County and 42 for San Mateo County. These are substantially higher than last year's figures of 22 and 29, respectively.

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 108.8% with the highest ratio and hottest market area is in the North (Brisbane, Colma, Daly City, Pacifica, San Bruno, South San Francisco) market area (median price of about $1.14 million) at 113.3% with a median days on market of 14. One major advantage of this area is its proximity to San Francisco and a heck of a lot less expensive to purchase or to rent! The coolest is the Coast (Half Moon Bay, El Granada, Moss Beach, Montara) market area (median price of about $1.20 million) at 100.1% with median days on the market of 44. 

As always, markets are always changing and the supply and demand in a particular area or even neighborhood can vary. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your RE/MAX Gold Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have 775 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

August Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: Continued is the trend towards a moderating marketplace. As I like to think about it -- the foot is off the pedal so the market is slowing. We still have the characteristics of a seller's market BUT there's more competition for sellers now than earlier in the year. You've no doubt noticed a bit more signs out and those properties on busier streets staying on the market longer if not more aggressively priced. One aspect of this change in that there is less activity and traffic for showings and open houses than earlier. My forecast is for an increased level of activity after Labor Day that we have most years. The year over year median in Santa Clara County was up 15.6% to $1,350,000 in July and in San Mateo County the median price was $1,638,000 as compared to $1,600,000 last year at this time. Inventories are up in each county. Condo and townhouse median in Santa Clara County reached $910,000 in July compared to $733,000 last year same month or an increase of 24.1%. In Santa Clara County 70.6% of homes that closed escrow in July sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and one of highest rate for this time of year. It was 75% in San Mateo County. 

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was 1,209, up from 834 or 45.0% from last year. Sales (accepted offers) were an anemic 993 down 13.4% from the same month last year when is was 1,146. One thing I've noticed in the stats is that the average size single family home that closed escrow reached 1,799 square feet, highest over the past 14 years and 12% larger in size than when is was 1,605 square feet in 2005. 

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 414 in July versus 319 last year of an increase of 29.8%. Sales (accepted offers) were 382 for July and 366 for the same month last year. For both counties, the inventory continues to lag far below the historical average for this time of the year which continues to place pressure on buyers.

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during July this stood at 105.2% and one of the highest ever for this time of the year. Last year at this time it stood at 105.5%.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the Cupertino/Sunnyvale market area (median price of about $2.18 million) at 108.5% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 8.5% higher than the list price! It also registered the lowest median days on market at just 10 which means half the inventory sells in just a bit over a week and 81% of closings sold above list price! The coolest is the South County (Morgan Hill, Gilroy, San Martin) market area (median price of about $0.955 million) with 101.4% and 28 days of unsold inventory.

Days of unsold inventory moved up a bit and stand at 42 for Santa Clara County and 34 for San Mateo County. This means that for San Mateo County that the entire inventory, if held static, would sell out in just over a month!

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 108.6% with the highest ratio and hottest market area is in the North (Brisbane, Colma, Daly City, Pacifica, San Bruno, South San Francisco) market area (median price of about $1.155 million) at 114.3% with a median days on market of 13. One major advantage of this area is its proximity to San Francisco and a heck of a lot less expensive to purchase or to rent! The coolest is the Expensive (Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough, Woodside) market area (median price of about $4,110 million) at 98.2% with median days on the market of 28. 

As always, markets are always changing and the supply and demand in a particular area or even neighborhood can vary. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your RE/MAX Gold Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have 775 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

July Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: Is there a slight draft in this room? Well, the markets in general in Santa Clara and San Mateo counties have cooled a bit. Not too much to bring about a buyer's market but there's less pressure on buyers as inventory has increased and the amount of activity and traffic for open houses has eroded somewhat. You may recall that the markets earlier in the year were on fire and we still have some "hot spots" we can perhaps lay blame on buyer fatigue as well as the normal cooling off of the markets during summer (after Memorial Day lasting historically until Labor Day). The year over year median in Santa Clara County was up 18.4% to $1,400,000 in June and in San Mateo County the median price was $1,665,000. Inventories are up overall but seem like they are topping which is normal for the summer months. Listings for very high-end priced homes throughout both counties remains sluggish and take quite a bit longer to sell than the recent past. Condo and townhouse median in Santa Clara County has reached $933,000. In Santa Clara County 79.5% of homes that closed escrow in June sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and a record for this time of year. It was 81% in San Mateo County. 

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was 1,045, up from 806 or 29.7% from last year. Sales (accepted offers) were 1,100 down 14.1% from the same month last year.  

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 397 in June. Sales (accepted offers) were 431. For both counties, the inventory continues to lag far below the historical average for this time of the year which continues to place pressure on buyers.

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during June this stood at 107.8% and the highest ever for this time of the year. Last year at this time it stood at 105.8%.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the Cupertino/Sunnyvale market area (median price of about $2.25 million) at 109.0% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 9.0% higher than the list price! It also registered the lowest median days on market at just 10 which means half the inventory sells in just a bit over a week and 86% of closings sold above list price! The coolest is the South County (Morgan Hill, Gilroy, San Martin) market area (median price of about $0.935 million) with 103.4% and 40 days of unsold inventory.

Days of unsold inventory moved up a bit and stand at 35 for Santa Clara County and 32 for San Mateo County. This means that for Santa Clara County that the entire inventory, if held static, would sell out in about a month!

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 111.4% with the highest ratio and hottest market area is in the North (Brisbane, Colma, Daly City, Pacifica, San Bruno, South San Francisco) market area (median price of about $1.143 million) at 117.0% with a median days on market of 12. One advantage of this area is its proximity to San Francisco and a heck of a lot less expensive or to rent! The coolest is the San Mateo County Coast (Half Moon Bay, El Granada, Moss Beach, Montara) market area (median price of about $1.260 million). 

As always, markets are always changing and the supply and demand in a particular area or even neighborhood can vary. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your RE/MAX Gold Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have over 775 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

June Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: My mother, a chef among her many talents, taught me that roasting was at a lower temperature than broiling. Well that's what we have in the Silicon Valley real estate market! We're not quite as hot er, broiling, as before. That said, year over year the Santa Clara County median price jumped to $1,400,000 in May up 17.2% and in San Mateo County the median price was $1,652,000. Inventories are up a bit overall, continuing the recent trend but high demand also continues but not at the breakneck pace of the past several months. This is to be expected as buying is a choice and if buyers are busy with graduations, weddings, vacations and the like, we normally see a diminished level of activity this time of the year. Very high-end priced home market throughout both counties remains sluggish as the cash-buying Asian stampede has subsided significantly. Condo and townhouse median in Santa Clara County has reached $940,000. In Santa Clara County 83.5% of homes that closed escrow in May sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and a record for this time of year. It was 84% in San Mateo County! 

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was 1,022, up from 837 and up 6.5% from last year at this time. Sales (accepted offers) were 1,185 down 11.3% from the same month last year.  

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 419 in May, up from 377 in April. Sales (accepted offers) were 454, same as last month. For both counties, the inventory continues to lag far below the historical average for this time of the year which continues to place pressure on buyers.

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during May this stood at 110.6% and the highest ever for this time of the year. Last year at this time it stood at 106.0%.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the Cupertino/Sunnyvale market area (median price of about $2.20 million) at 113.5% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 13.5% higher than the list price! It also registered the lowest median days on market at just 9 which means half the inventory sells in just a bit over a week and 83.5% of closings sold above list price! The coolest is the South County (Morgan Hill, Gilroy, San Martin) market area (median price of about $0.915 million) with 103.1% and 32 days of unsold inventory.

Days of unsold inventory moved up a bit and stand at 30 for Santa Clara County and 32 for San Mateo County. This means that for Santa Clara County that the entire inventory, if held static, would sell out in less than a month!

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 111.8% with the highest ratio and hottest market area in the Bay Cities (Belmont, Burlingame, Millbrae, San Carlos, San Mateo) market area (median price of about $1.94 million) at 113.3% with a median days on market of 10. One advantage of this area is its proximity to San Francisco and a heck of a lot less expensive! The coolest are the Expensive (Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough and Woodside) market area, (median price of about $3.78 million) and the San Mateo County Coast (Half Moon Bay, El Granada, Moss Beach, Montara) market area (median price of about $1.285 million). 

As always, market dynamics change and the supply and demand relationships can vary by area. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your Remax Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have over 775 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

May Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: The Silicon Valley real estate market broiling continues! Year over year the Santa Clara County median price has jumped to $1,420,000 in April up 22.4% and in San Mateo County the median price sits at $1,800,000. The unbalanced market with super low inventories and high demand contributes to the strong price increases -- sellers take notice. Very high-end priced home market throughout both counties remain The Santa Clara County median price for condos/townhouses reached $915,000. In Santa Clara County 84.5% of homes that closed escrow in April sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and a record for this time of year. It was "only" 82% in San Mateo County! 

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was 837 down 13.6% from last year at this time. Sales (accepted offers) were 1,184 down from 1,265 or 6.4% from the same month last year. You'd think that sales would be down as much as inventory if you believed what some agents say that sales are limited by the low inventory. You have to take another variable into consideration and that is -- turnover. A faster market or one with a shorter number of days on market easily cancels or mitigates a lower level of inventory. Currently we're at the fastest market turnover ever! 

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 377 in April also down from last year. Sales (accepted offers) were 454. For both counties, the inventory continues to lag far below the historical average for this time of the year placing pressure on buyers as evidenced in the predominance of multiple offer situations and heated competition between buyers trying to enter the market.

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during April this stood at 112.5% and the highest ever eclipsing the previous all time high of 110.0% reached in the heady days of the “Dot-com” period in 2000. Last year at this time it stood at 106.0%.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the Cupertino/Sunnyvale market area (median price of about $2.22 million) at 119.1% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 19.1% higher than the list price! It also registered the lowest median days on market at just 8 which means half the inventory sells in just a bit over a week and 89% of closings sold above list price! The coolest is the South County (Morgan Hill, Gilroy, San Martin) market area (median price of about $0.91 million) with 103.1% and 30 days of unsold inventory.

Days of unsold inventory are at a record low of just 24.7 for Santa Clara County and 29 for San Mateo County. This means that for Santa Clara County that the entire inventory, if held static, would sell out in less than 25 days!

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 111.9% with the highest ratio and hottest market area in the Bay Cities (Belmont, Burlingame, Millbrae, San Carlos, San Mateo) market area (median price of about $1.93 million) at 116.3% with a median days on market of 11. One advantage of this area is its proximity to San Francisco and a heck of a lot less expensive! The coolest is the Expensive (Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough and Woodside) market area, (median price of about $3.69 million). 

As always, market dynamics change and the supply and demand relationships can vary by area. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your Remax Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have over 750 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

April Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Quick Market Summary: The Silicon Valley real estate market is HOT and actually even hotter than the recent past! Year over year the Santa Clara County median price has incredibly accelerated to $1,460,000 up 28.3% and in San Mateo County increased "only" 20.3% to $1,678,000. The hot streak continues -- sellers take notice. Supply and demand -- low inventory or supply coupled with high demand means higher prices. The Santa Clara County median price for condos/townhouses reached $900,000, up 28.4% from the same month last year. In Santa Clara County 83% of homes that closed escrow in March sold for more than list price inferring multiple offers and a record for this time of year. It was 82% in San Mateo County. 

Nuts and Bolts: Inventory or the amount of homes available for purchase in Santa Clara County was 625 down 26.8% from last year at this time. Sales (accepted offers) were 1,227 up from 1,170 up 4.9% from the same month last year. You'd think that sales would be down as much as inventory if you believe what some agents say that sales are limited by the low inventory. They forget that there is another variable to consider -- turnover. A faster market or one with a shorter number of days on market easily cancels or mitigates a lower level of inventory. Currently we're at the fastest market turnover ever! 

For San Mateo County, inventory of single family residences stood at 308 in March, down 8.3% from last year. Sales (accepted offers) were 384, down 6.3% from March 2017. For both counties, the inventory continues to lag far below the historical average for this time of the year placing pressure on buyers as evidenced in the predominance of multiple offer situations and heated competition between buyers trying to enter the market.

Sale price to list price ratio, an important key market condition indicator, shows that for Santa Clara County transactions completed during March this ratio stood at 112.7% and the highest ever eclipsing the previous all time high of 110.0% reached in the heady days of the “Dot-com” period in 2000. Last year at this time it stood at 103.9%.

The hottest market in Santa Clara County belongs to the Cupertino/Sunnyvale market area (median price of about $2.28 million) at 118.6% which means that the average closed sale has a sale price 18.6% higher than the list price! It also registered the lowest median days on market at just 8 which means half the inventory sells in just a bit over a week! The coolest is the Los Gatos/Saratoga market area (median price of about $2.36 million) with 105.2% and 49 days of unsold inventory. Notice that the median price of Cupertino/Sunnyvale is closing in on Los Gatos/Saratoga!

Days of unsold inventory are at a record low of just 17.8 for Santa Clara County and 28 for San Mateo County. This means that for Santa Clara County that the entire inventory, if held static, would sell out in less than 18 days!

San Mateo County’s overall sale price to list price ratio stands at 112.6% with the highest ratio and hottest market area in the Bay Cities (Belmont, Burlingame, Millbrae, San Carlos, San Mateo) market area (median price of about $1.89 million) at 116.6% with a median days on market of 10. One advantage of this area is its proximity to San Francisco and a heck of a lot less expensive! The coolest is the Expensive (Menlo Park, Atherton, Portola Valley, Hillsborough and Woodside) market area, (median price of about $4.08 million). 

As always, market dynamics change and the supply and demand relationships can vary by area. If you would like specific market condition information for your area or neighborhood or a current home valuation, please feel free to call me, your Remax Agent! You are welcome to leave your comments or questions or contact me directly at my website. Check out and “like” my Facebook Business Page (have over 750 likes – help me to reach 1,000!) or follow me on my Twitter Page.Thank you.

April Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Here are my observations of the most recent March transactions for Santa Clara County real estate and San Mateo County real estate. Your comments and questions are always welcome. If you see something in your neighborhood that you are curious about or have a question, please don't hesitate to share with us. If you have questions or a comment, please leave them here, or feel free to contact me through my website or send me an email.

General Market Observations and Comments -- Inventory, those homes available for sale have continued to increase, but remain well below the average level for this time of year.  In Santa Clara County, there were just 908 single family residences on the market versus 857 last month. In San Mateo County, there were 446 compared to 433. These levels are running about 50% of the average over the last 10+ years!

The median days on the market or what it takes to sell one-half of those on the market, sell in just 11 days in Santa Clara County and 12 days in San Mateo County -- indicating a hot seller's market. For March, 792 homes closed escrow last month in Santa Clara County, up from 621 in February and 333 did so in San Mateo County versus 247 last month. Comparing March of 2013 with previous Marches, this month was the third slowest in terms of closings.  

Both counties continue to have the characteristics of a seller's market generally. During March, more than half of the closings had a sales price greater than a list price (68% in Santa Clara County and 62% in San Mateo County with both percentages increasing from February). For owners thinking of selling, it is important to understand the market dynamics in their particular market area. For many, this remains an excellent time to sell.

Seller's -- Should You List on the MLS or Not? --  More recently, we've run into listings that are "not advertised" and not on the MLS (Multiple Listing Service).  I advise my sellers that in order to assure the maximum exposure to the market, it is imperative to have their home on the MLS.  That way, all agents may be exposed to it.  If not, we call those listings "pocket" listings.  The term denotes that the listing is for the listing agent/broker only and its purpose is to increase the likelihood that that listing agent will handle both sides of the transaction, not to get the maximum price and best terms for the seller!  As listing agents, we Realtors sign an agency relationship form that states the agent will use full fiduciary duties to their client but pocket listings don't adhere to this as it doesn't place their client's interest before their own.  Be wary of agents advising NOT to list it on the MLS which is designed to open up the market and as a result is a benefit to the seller.  This might be used in an extreme circumstance.  For example, when a famous personality wants to sell but there are still ways to circumvent this approach that gives the seller access to the entire market.  Watch out for the legal battles when sellers who have been told that they will receive market value without the "mess" of having their home on the market only to find out they've been financially sucker-punched.   

Hot, Hotter, Hottest Market Areas -- In Santa Clara County, the hottest market area is Cupertino, Sunnyvale (zip codes 95014, 94086, 94087). It sports a median sale price of $1,245,000 and has a median days on market of just 9 days! A hotter market is Los Altos and Palo Alto with a median sale price of $2,288,000 has a median days on market of 10. Only a hot market is Santa Clara, Willow Glen, Cambrian and Campbell with a median sale price of $750,000 and has a median days on market also of 10.  

Beautiful and Abundant Trees - Los Altos, CA

For San Mateo County, the hottest market area is Foster City and Redwood Shores with a median sale price of $1,006,000 and a median days on market of 10, followed by a hotter market of the Bay Cities area including Belmont, Burlingame, Milbrae, San Carlos, San Mateo with a median sale price of $1,051,000 and a median days on the market of 10.   

Median Prices are Jumping -- The trends of median prices of single family, condo and townhouse homes continue upwards. For single family residences, March saw Santa Clara County's median price, half above and half below or the middle transaction, at $731,000 and the median sales price for San Mateo County increased to $950,000. The upwards trend has been evident since the Spring of 2009. By the way, market bottoms were also established during this time in both stock indices and commodities.

Recent Overbidding Levels Remain High -- The percentage where sale price is greater than list price gives us an indication of the incidence of multiple offers. Already mentioned is the frequency of overbidding (sale price greater than list price 68% of the time in Santa Clara County and 62% in San Mateo County) but a more telling aspect is the magnitude or sales price to list price ratio (SP/LP). In Santa Clara County, the average SP/LP ratio is 105.2 or in the average transaction the seller gets 5.2% above the list price. Hottest area is Los Altos and Palo Alto with 109.7. The Cupertino and Sunnyvale market area was just behind with a ratio of 108.9. In San Mateo County the numbers look similar. Overall, the county average is 104.8 and the highest is Bay Cities market area of Belmont, Burlingame, Millbrae, San Carlos, San Mateo with 107.4.

Yahoo! World Headquarters - Sunnyvale, CA

Thanks for reading! I'm Tom McEvoy, Realtor with RE/MAX Santa Clara Valley -- On Google+ at +Tom McEvoy. Let me know if you have any comments, questions, observations or any future topics you'd like me to address.

June Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Update

Here are my observations of the most recent market actions for Santa Clara, San Mateo, Santa Cruz, and Monterey counties. You are encouraged to leave your comments and questions or even update us on what you are witnessing in your neighborhood.

> Market continues in turnaround mode! My recent posts have mentioned that the market activity is turning around. Well, May's activity continues the trend and provides more evidence that we could have seen the bottom! How can this be?

• Buyers are all but tripping over each other to submit offers for homes in the more affordable areas of Santa Clara, San Mateo, Santa Cruz, and Monterey counties.
  
• The supply of homes available for sale (inventory) continues to decline in each of the four counties. Normally, inventory is increasing at this time of the year. Lowered inventory and strong demand means HIGHER PRICES!
  
• The number of initiated sales (in contract) have jumped in Santa Clara County and is trending higher in the other counties, too.
  
• The Days of Unsold Inventory (DUI) has improved (decreased) substantially. The DUI for single family residences in Santa Clara County for under $450,000 is an astonishing 26 which means when freezing inventory, ALL homes would sell in less than month!. Anything less than 45 represents a Seller's market with market characteristics of multiple offers, high percentage selling above list price AND, price APPRECIATION.
• Median prices have increased in each county except for Monterey.

> 2 Hot 2 Handle? -- How's 20 offers on a single family residence? Or, 81 or even 99 offers? Yes, those are real numbers of offers received on three listings that I'm familiar with. I coach my buyers that list prices don't mean a thing, especially when the list price is way under the fair market value of the home. Research must be done to determine, as best as possible, the fair market value so that an intelligent offer can be submitted otherwise you're just spinning wheels. No seller whether a bank or not is going to sell for less than it's market value. So what we have now is that sales are extremely high but closings (close of escrows) are running at the third worst month in the last ten years!

> Bank-owned homes offer the best deals? -- First, that's a myth in general as banks are actually sophisticated sellers. They've already lost money and maintaining a listing costs them even more so they hire listing agents, who in many cases, set list prices at ridiculously low prices to spur activity AND multiple offers. This sets up in the minds of potential buyers that they can actually buy the home at or even under the list price. Invariably, the home sells for it's fair market value.

Second, prices have adjusted tremendously in many areas so are a lot less than they were at the peak in real estate pricing which differs in each area.

> Seller's Markets? -- Yes, there are! Areas of Santa Clara County experiencing a seller's market condition are: Blossom Valley (hottest market in Valley), South San Jose, East Valley (Alum Rock), Santa Teresa, Cambrian and Evergreen. To refresh you, characteristics of a seller's market are fewer days on market, lower number of homes available for sale, higher probability of multiple offers with many sale prices exceeding list prices and some added price appreciation.

> Buyer's Markets? -- OK, yes, there are some of those too! Areas of Santa Clara County experiencing a buyer's market condition are: Saratoga (coolest market in Santa Clara County), Los Gatos, Almaden Valley, Mountain View, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Palo Alto. To refresh you, characteristics of a buyer's market are longer days on market, higher number of homes available for sale, lower probability of multiple offers or even an offer with most sale prices below list price with general price depreciation.

> Sales per Day -- The amount of average sales per day in May reached 56.7 for Santa Clara County. The last time this figure was this high was in May 2005 when the market activity was nearing a crescendo! The only other May that had higher sales per day was in 2004 which was over 64. The big difference between 2004 and 2005 and May of 2009 was that many transactions this year did not close!

> Median prices. Stuck at $450,000 for Santa Clara County these past few months, moved up to $470,000 in April increased yet again to $490,000. Median prices (the middle transaction) for an entire county are actually worthless to use as part of a strategy for buying or selling. Each area, down even to the neighborhood, has differing dynamics of supply and demand so needs to be looked at accordingly. We've observed that market mix has helped bring down median prices due to more low-priced homes closing as a percentage of total closings. With more of the lower-priced home selling briskly there will be a lot less of them available and buyers will have to buy some higher priced ones.

> Tale of Two Markets -- Sales of affordably-priced homes mainly in the less than $450,000 level are HOT. On the other hand, sales of higher-priced homes are virtually dead, as some would say, in the more expensive areas. For instance, there have been no sales of $5+ million homes in the last five weeks in Santa Clara County.

So keep this in mind that if you are considering a sale in an expensive area, you probably want to sell quickly rather than waiting but in any case check with a Realtor knowledgeable about current market conditions to guide you in positioning your home for maximum activity and price while minimizing time on market. You really don't want to be on the market for a year or more.

And, if you are considering a purchase of a home in an expensive area, get ready to buy! Why, get ready? I think we'll see list prices reduced and sale prices dropping more before they are likely headed higher.

> Want to sell with multiple offers? The percent of completed sales or closings with a sold price greater than list price stands at 37.1%. This level, up a bit, means that fully one out of three sellers received more than their asking price. Oh, and another 8.1% of sellers received their full list price!

Want to hear a little secret? Some of those sellers receiving either their list price or something higher had to reduce their list prices to generate one or more offers. These figures don't calculate what the sale price to original list price ratio is but only what the current list price was at the time of sale.

> Loan Traffic Jam Lets Up! Last month, I mentioned that if you have applied to refinance your existing mortgage that lenders were clogged with loan applications. Well, what a difference a month of increasing mortgage rates makes. There's still a backlog but if you were trying to play the interest rate game and waiting for another 1/8th or 1/4 point drop, the mortgage rates shot up almost a full point!

Moral of this story is that if the current rate works (benefits you financially) then lock in the rate and close the loan!

> Investor's Reawaken Somewhat - A bit more activity in the multi-unit properties but wanted to mention that those properties with list prices less than $600,000 are seeing much more activity. The days of unsold inventory (DUI) for this type of property in this level has dropped to 54 versus an improved 122 overall.


Thanks for reading -- what are your thoughts and comments?

Beware the Median Price Deception

As much as they would have you believe that home prices act like stock prices, don't buy it!

When a stock trades at a certain price (let's say, Google at $300 per share), all shares are valued at the current price. Hence, the "fair market value" of each of Google's approximately 315,000,000 shares outstanding equals $300.00.

However, not all homes sell each month. Determining the fair market value of a home becomes more of an analytical challenge.

In December, 676 single family homes closed escrow in Santa Clara County. The calculated median price (half above and half below or the middle transaction) came to $512,450. The figure is calculated on just what closed escrow in December, not a figure you can assign to all homes.

In the second half of 2007, when the sub-prime loan issues started to surface with a vengeance, the sales of lower-priced homes decreased significantly as a percent of the total homes as the mix of higher-priced homes expanded. What did this do to the median price? It jumped upwards!

Currently, we've witnessed a flurry of activity in the sales of lower-priced or affordable homes including bank-owned and "short sale" (preforeclosure) homes. This is the exact opposite affect of what occurred in the later part of 2007, as the percentage of lower-priced homes make up a greater percentage of the total closings which dramatically decreases the median price. We can estimate that if the mix of homes had remained the same, the median prices would have fallen about one-third of the amount of the total decrease. That means about two-thirds of the fall in the median price is due to the mix shifting toward the lower-priced homes.

My point is that median price statistics should not be used in isolation but in conjunction with well-researched and analyzed transactional data available to your friendly Realtor.

Understanding the shifts in the markets and changes in trends (the whys) form a major part in formulating the appropriate strategy your Realtor uses to advise clients on their purchase or sale in terms of timing and determining what I call the "relevant range" of fair market values.

For an update on the current market trends in Santa Clara, San Mateo, Santa Cruz and Monterey counties, please click on my January Silicon Valley Market Update.



Thanks for reading!